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Red134
142543.0
252157.3
135924.2
Blue101
247143.3
281149.0
302423.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11411850100150200250134101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.31.4
50.551.9
Auto14.2
Teleop33.4
End9.4
red by 8.3
49.01.0
45.044.1
Auto16.4
Teleop24.9
End7.7
Second
43.01.4
40.942.3
Auto15.7
Teleop20.0
End7.4
blue by 0.3
2471
#19
43.31.0
44.943.9
Auto10.2
Teleop23.5
End9.6
Third
1359
#14
24.21.4
16.217.6
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End8.1
red by 1.2
3024
#13
23.01.0
20.619.6
Auto7.9
Teleop7.7
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned