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Red113
703442.3
367439.3
255020.9
Blue111
154045.9
406028.5
367320.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88966080100120140113111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.32.0
33.635.6
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End9.1
blue by 3.7
45.90.8
42.042.8
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End10.2
Second
39.32.0
36.338.2
Auto12.2
Teleop18.1
End9.1
red by 10.8
4060
#17
28.50.8
29.630.4
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End9.5
Third
2550
#29
20.92.0
13.515.5
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End4.8
red by 0.5
3673
#31
20.50.8
17.117.9
Auto3.0
Teleop9.6
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned