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Red149
302423.0
363648.1
404332.7
Blue49
597516.5
154045.9
237430.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9596608010012014014949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#16
48.11.8
44.246.0
Auto8.1
Teleop31.2
End8.7
red by 2.2
45.92.7
42.840.1
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End10.2
Second
4043
#12
32.71.8
26.027.9
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End6.7
red by 2.4
2374
#10
30.32.7
29.026.3
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End7.4
Third
3024
#13
23.01.8
19.621.4
Auto7.9
Teleop7.7
End7.5
red by 6.5
5975
#27
16.52.7
17.114.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsMissed