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Red96
703442.3
634324.3
406028.5
Blue124
75329.3
143230.0
95541.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9410240608012014016018096124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.30.5
37.437.9
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End9.1
red by 0.9
955
#18
41.42.0
41.343.3
Auto10.0
Teleop24.1
End7.0
Second
4060
#17
28.50.5
30.330.8
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End9.5
blue by 1.5
30.02.0
23.325.3
Auto8.1
Teleop11.5
End10.5
Third
6343
#30
24.30.5
21.221.7
Auto7.3
Teleop7.4
End9.7
blue by 5.0
753
#21
29.32.0
29.731.7
Auto6.5
Teleop18.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsEarned