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Red116
289819.2
299051.0
367439.3
Blue142
252157.3
247143.3
95731.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10313250150200116142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.7
44.545.2
Auto12.9
Teleop30.6
End7.4
blue by 6.2
57.31.5
53.154.6
Auto14.2
Teleop33.4
End9.4
Second
39.30.7
38.739.4
Auto12.2
Teleop18.1
End9.1
blue by 4.0
2471
#19
43.31.5
39.340.8
Auto10.2
Teleop23.5
End9.6
Third
2898
#25
19.20.7
17.017.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End6.2
blue by 12.1
957
#11
31.31.5
27.528.9
Auto13.2
Teleop12.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned18%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsEarned