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Red100
99733.3
634324.3
404332.7
Blue115
363648.1
367320.5
469232.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811044060120140160100115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
997
#8
33.31.4
28.129.5
Auto9.6
Teleop14.5
End9.2
blue by 14.8
3636
#16
48.10.4
46.246.6
Auto8.1
Teleop31.2
End8.7
Second
4043
#12
32.71.4
28.830.2
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End6.7
red by 0.7
4692
#15
32.00.4
30.430.8
Auto7.5
Teleop15.9
End8.6
Third
6343
#30
24.31.4
21.723.1
Auto7.3
Teleop7.4
End9.7
red by 3.9
3673
#31
20.50.4
17.618.0
Auto3.0
Teleop9.6
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned