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Red151
263526.7
546831.8
252157.3
Blue101
404332.7
247143.3
703442.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102110708090120130140150151101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.30.3
46.146.5
Auto14.2
Teleop33.4
End9.4
red by 13.9
2471
#19
43.30.7
46.946.2
Auto10.2
Teleop23.5
End9.6
Second
5468
#20
31.80.3
28.729.1
Auto11.2
Teleop13.8
End6.8
blue by 10.5
42.30.7
31.230.4
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End9.1
Third
2635
#22
26.70.3
21.922.3
Auto7.7
Teleop11.2
End7.7
blue by 6.0
4043
#12
32.70.8
23.823.0
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsEarned