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Red111
367439.3
237430.3
406028.5
Blue93
84719.9
273324.7
247143.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1108520406010012014016011193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.31.5
39.437.9
Auto12.2
Teleop18.1
End9.1
blue by 4.0
2471
#19DQ
43.30.1
40.840.7
Auto10.2
Teleop23.5
End9.6
Second
2374
#10
30.31.5
29.728.2
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End7.4
red by 5.7
2733
#24
24.70.1
22.922.8
Auto6.6
Teleop11.8
End6.2
Third
4060
#17
28.51.5
30.729.1
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End9.5
red by 8.6
847
#26
19.90.1
19.119.0
Auto6.8
Teleop7.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned