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Red116
289819.2
367320.5
703442.3
Blue112
367439.3
597516.5
363648.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751110204060100120140160116112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.30.9
39.040.0
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End9.1
blue by 5.8
3636
#16
48.10.3
47.347.0
Auto8.1
Teleop31.2
End8.7
Second
3673
#31
20.50.9
18.019.0
Auto3.0
Teleop9.6
End7.8
blue by 18.8
39.30.3
37.937.6
Auto12.2
Teleop18.1
End9.1
Third
2898
#25
19.20.9
17.718.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End6.2
red by 2.7
5975
#27
16.50.3
14.514.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned