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Red69
408922.2
302423.0
95541.4
Blue162
597516.5
99733.3
703442.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1008940608012014016069162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#18
41.41.6
42.841.3
Auto10.0
Teleop24.1
End7.0
blue by 0.9
42.31.0
40.041.0
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End9.1
Second
3024
#13
23.01.6
24.723.1
Auto7.9
Teleop7.7
End7.5
blue by 10.3
997
#8
33.31.0
30.831.8
Auto9.6
Teleop14.5
End9.2
Third
4089
#23
22.21.6
25.223.6
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End6.9
red by 5.7
5975
#27
16.51.0
13.915.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsMissed72%Activation oddsEarned