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Red119
281149.0
289819.2
546831.8
Blue125
154045.9
143230.0
142543.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97123406080140160180119125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.01.3
47.348.6
Auto16.4
Teleop24.9
End7.7
red by 3.0
45.90.8
43.544.3
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End10.2
Second
5468
#20
31.81.3
28.930.2
Auto11.2
Teleop13.8
End6.8
blue by 11.2
43.00.8
40.741.6
Auto15.7
Teleop20.0
End7.4
Third
2898
#25
19.21.3
17.819.1
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End6.2
blue by 10.8
30.00.8
28.128.9
Auto8.1
Teleop11.5
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned