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Red119
289819.2
299051.0
703442.3
Blue106
302423.0
469232.0
281149.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117109406080100140160180200119106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.3
48.949.2
Auto12.9
Teleop30.6
End7.4
red by 2.1
49.00.1
48.648.5
Auto16.4
Teleop24.9
End7.7
Second
42.30.3
41.041.3
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End9.1
red by 10.3
4692
#15
32.00.1
31.231.0
Auto7.5
Teleop15.9
End8.6
Third
2898
#25
19.20.3
19.119.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End6.2
blue by 3.8
3024
#13
23.00.1
23.123.0
Auto7.9
Teleop7.7
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsMissed90%Activation oddsEarned