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Red111
95541.4
404332.7
237430.3
Blue81
95731.3
289819.2
408922.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9859020408012014011181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#18
41.41.2
41.943.2
Auto10.0
Teleop24.1
End7.0
red by 10.1
957
#11
31.31.0
22.423.4
Auto13.2
Teleop12.0
End6.1
Second
4043
#12
32.71.2
23.024.3
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End6.7
red by 10.5
4089
#23
22.21.0
18.719.7
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End6.9
Third
2374
#10
30.31.2
22.323.6
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End7.4
red by 11.1
2898
#25
19.21.0
19.320.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
22%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsMissed