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Red143
299051.0
252157.3
135924.2
Blue150
281149.0
546831.8
154045.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137134100110120130150160170180143150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.30.2
56.056.2
Auto14.2
Teleop33.4
End9.4
red by 8.3
49.00.5
48.849.4
Auto16.4
Teleop24.9
End7.7
Second
51.00.2
49.850.0
Auto12.9
Teleop30.6
End7.4
red by 5.1
45.90.5
45.846.3
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End10.2
Third
1359
#14
24.20.2
22.923.2
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End8.1
blue by 7.6
5468
#20
31.80.5
31.732.2
Auto11.2
Teleop13.8
End6.8