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Red132
408922.2
363648.1
142543.0
Blue113
99733.3
247143.3
406028.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118110406080100140160180132113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#16
48.10.0
46.846.8
Auto8.1
Teleop31.2
End8.7
red by 4.8
2471
#19
43.30.2
43.143.3
Auto10.2
Teleop23.5
End9.6
Second
43.00.0
41.841.8
Auto15.7
Teleop20.0
End7.4
red by 9.8
997
#8
33.30.2
33.133.3
Auto9.6
Teleop14.5
End9.2
Third
4089
#23
22.20.0
20.920.9
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End6.9
blue by 6.3
4060
#17
28.50.2
28.328.5
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End9.5