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Red89
142535.7
646515.4
247146.9
Blue79
448829.6
75325.6
597514.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111700204060801001201401608979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.90.2
47.146.9
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.6
red by 17.3
29.60.3
29.829.6
Auto7.5
Teleop15.9
End6.1
Second
35.70.2
35.935.7
Auto13.2
Teleop15.9
End6.6
red by 10.2
753
#27
25.60.3
25.825.6
Auto5.8
Teleop15.5
End4.2
Third
6465
#20
15.40.2
15.615.4
Auto5.7
Teleop5.9
End3.8
red by 0.6
5975
#21
14.80.3
15.114.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End3.9