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Red79
597020.0
412513.3
142535.7
Blue116
247146.9
363647.7
853226.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6489020408010012014079116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.71.2
31.032.2
Auto13.2
Teleop15.9
End6.6
blue by 12.0
47.74.0
31.835.8
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End8.0
Second
5970
#11
20.00.7
16.016.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End7.3
blue by 26.9
46.94.0
30.234.2
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.6
Third
4125
#28
13.31.2
15.917.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End4.2
blue by 13.4
26.74.0
17.921.9
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsEarned