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Red88
204655.6
669617.5
412513.3
Blue111
142535.7
247146.9
263521.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73972040608012014016088111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.61.8
45.647.4
Auto14.4
Teleop33.4
End7.6
red by 8.7
46.91.4
35.637.0
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.6
Second
6696
#23
17.51.1
10.011.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End4.9
blue by 18.2
35.71.4
30.832.2
Auto13.2
Teleop15.9
End6.6
Third
4125
#28
13.31.8
16.418.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End4.2
blue by 8.6
2635
#15
21.91.4
21.723.2
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsEarned