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Red113
204655.6
237421.6
56814.3
Blue76
95722.7
853226.7
597020.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90702040608010012014016011376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.62.9
50.052.8
Auto14.4
Teleop33.4
End7.6
red by 28.9
26.70.8
27.127.9
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End7.3
Second
2374
#17
21.62.9
17.220.1
Auto2.6
Teleop13.9
End5.2
blue by 1.1
957
#22
22.70.8
21.722.6
Auto10.4
Teleop8.6
End3.7
Third
568
#14
14.32.9
15.117.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End5.7
blue by 5.7
5970
#11
20.00.5
19.520.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsEarned