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Red117
363647.7
646515.4
247146.9
Blue74
291518.2
263521.9
669617.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11647010015011774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.71.7
42.043.7
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End8.0
red by 25.8
2635
#15
21.91.2
20.321.5
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End6.3
Second
46.91.7
40.942.7
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.6
red by 28.7
2915
#12
18.20.8
16.517.2
Auto5.3
Teleop6.9
End6.0
Third
6465
#20
15.41.7
17.219.0
Auto5.7
Teleop5.9
End3.8
blue by 2.1
6696
#23
17.50.8
15.916.7
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsEarned