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Red54
142535.7
646515.4
95722.7
Blue133
363647.7
404323.8
291518.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions858905010015020054133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.73.7
36.733.0
Auto13.2
Teleop15.9
End6.6
blue by 12.0
47.72.2
43.745.9
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End8.0
Second
957
#22
22.73.7
24.721.0
Auto10.4
Teleop8.6
End3.7
blue by 1.1
4043
#16
23.82.4
22.224.6
Auto8.6
Teleop12.5
End2.8
Third
6465
#20
15.43.7
19.015.3
Auto5.7
Teleop5.9
End3.8
blue by 2.8
2915
#12
18.21.5
17.218.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.9
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsMissed24%Activation oddsEarned