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Red108
404323.8
204655.6
95722.7
Blue58
466220.5
302412.3
263521.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9060020408010012014010858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.63.0
35.838.8
Auto14.4
Teleop33.4
End7.6
red by 33.7
2635
#15
21.90.8
21.220.4
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End6.3
Second
4043
#16
23.83.0
22.825.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.5
End2.8
red by 3.3
4662
#24
20.50.5
21.120.7
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End7.7
Third
957
#22
22.73.0
22.325.3
Auto10.4
Teleop8.6
End3.7
red by 10.4
3024
#25
12.30.8
17.616.8
Auto5.4
Teleop2.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsEarned