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Red51
99987.9
75327.5
363632.0
Blue61
466216.1
237419.9
999714.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94340501502002505161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#16
32.02.6
35.933.3
Auto4.7
Teleop18.5
End8.5
red by 12.1
2374
#15
19.90.8
21.822.6
Auto10.3
Teleop5.5
End4.3
Second
753
#22
27.52.6
33.631.0
Auto7.2
Teleop13.9
End6.6
red by 11.4
4662
#14
16.10.8
11.612.4
Auto3.2
Teleop5.8
End7.4
Third
9998
#24
7.94.3
15.711.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop5.0
End2.9
blue by 6.4
9997
#10
14.21.3
15.717.0
Auto2.4
Teleop3.7
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed23%Activation oddsEarned