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Qual 142023 FIRST Chance
Red58
299023.8
646510.8
237419.9
Blue102
999613.9
273320.7
154038.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5977010015020058102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#8
23.80.2
23.4→23.2
Auto4.2
Teleop12.6
End6.9
blue by 14.9
1540
#6
38.71.5
36.9→38.4
Auto11.9
Teleop18.8
End8.0
Second
2374
#15
19.90.2
23.1→22.9
Auto10.3
Teleop5.5
End4.3
blue by 0.8
2733
#9
20.71.5
14.5→16.0
Auto9.2
Teleop7.9
End3.8
Third
6465
#19
10.80.2
9.7→9.5
Auto3.5
Teleop1.6
End5.9
blue by 3.1
9996
#17
13.92.5
13.2→15.7
Auto3.7
Teleop3.6
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsEarned