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Red123
247144.0
644336.0
237419.9
Blue86
646510.8
142539.3
448827.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1078405015012386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.4
43.143.5
Auto11.2
Teleop21.9
End10.6
red by 4.7
1425
#11
39.31.1
39.438.4
Auto14.1
Teleop18.4
End6.7
Second
36.00.4
33.433.9
Auto13.7
Teleop17.0
End5.3
red by 8.6
4488
#23
27.41.1
29.228.1
Auto6.5
Teleop15.3
End5.7
Third
2374
#15
19.90.4
20.220.6
Auto10.3
Teleop5.5
End4.3
red by 9.1
6465
#19
10.81.1
11.510.5
Auto3.5
Teleop1.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned24%Activation oddsEarned