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Qual 42023 FIRST Chance
Red75
644336.0
999915.3
299023.8
Blue45
469219.1
703421.4
448827.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6010101502002503003504007545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6443
#5
36.00.4
30.2→30.6
Auto13.7
Teleop17.0
End5.3
red by 8.6
4488
#23
27.43.3
38.8→35.5
Auto6.5
Teleop15.3
End5.7
Second
2990
#8
23.80.4
23.4→23.8
Auto4.2
Teleop12.6
End6.9
red by 2.4
7034
#21
21.43.3
31.9→28.6
Auto5.6
Teleop11.0
End4.8
Third
9999
#13
15.30.6
15.7→16.3
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End9.1
blue by 3.8
4692
#12
19.13.3
18.7→15.4
Auto5.1
Teleop6.3
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsMissed