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Qual 62023 FIRST Chance
Red94
546833.3
142539.3
95530.4
Blue62
154038.7
646510.8
669615.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1205801001502002509462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#11
39.30.7
42.5→41.8
Auto14.1
Teleop18.4
End6.7
red by 0.6
1540
#6
38.70.6
37.2→36.6
Auto11.9
Teleop18.8
End8.0
Second
5468
#3
33.30.7
32.6→32.0
Auto14.4
Teleop10.9
End8.1
red by 17.8
6696
#18
15.50.6
14.6→14.0
Auto4.9
Teleop4.8
End6.0
Third
955
#7
30.40.7
28.9→28.2
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End8.1
red by 19.7
6465
#19
10.80.6
9.8→9.1
Auto3.5
Teleop1.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
45%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsMissed