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Qual 92023 FIRST Chance
Red56
99987.9
95530.4
646510.8
Blue100
999714.2
154038.7
247144.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4399015020056100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#7
30.40.6
28.2→28.8
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End8.1
blue by 13.5
2471
#1
44.00.4
43.0→43.3
Auto11.2
Teleop21.9
End10.6
Second
6465
#19
10.80.6
9.1→9.7
Auto3.5
Teleop1.6
End5.9
blue by 27.9
1540
#6
38.70.4
36.6→36.9
Auto11.9
Teleop18.8
End8.0
Third
9998
#24
7.91.0
9.5→10.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop5.0
End2.9
blue by 6.4
9997
#10
14.20.6
15.2→15.8
Auto2.4
Teleop3.7
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned