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Red133
562422.4
27252.2
139153.6
Blue131
331453.6
31653.2
549014.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13812880100120160180200220133131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.1
53.553.6
Auto16.0
Teleop30.3
End7.3
Level
53.60.1
53.553.6
Auto13.1
Teleop32.8
End7.8
Second
272
#1
52.20.1
52.152.2
Auto16.3
Teleop27.0
End8.9
blue by 1.0
316
#3
53.20.1
53.153.2
Auto12.7
Teleop30.5
End10.0
Third
5624
#15
22.40.1
22.322.4
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End4.4
red by 7.8
5490
#29
14.60.1
14.514.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.6
End5.1