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Red70
201623.6
428535.3
877113.8
Blue114
692129.9
531021.5
139153.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions669620408012014016018070114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4285
#14
35.30.3
31.231.5
Auto9.8
Teleop18.7
End6.7
blue by 18.3
53.61.5
44.045.5
Auto16.0
Teleop30.3
End7.3
Second
2016
#24
23.60.3
17.517.8
Auto6.3
Teleop11.1
End6.2
blue by 6.4
6921
#18
29.91.5
22.023.5
Auto9.2
Teleop14.8
End6.0
Third
8771
#27
13.80.3
17.317.5
Auto5.5
Teleop3.7
End4.6
blue by 7.7
5310
#20
21.51.5
20.622.1
Auto7.5
Teleop6.4
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned