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Red82
245822.8
260747.8
901420.5
Blue99
872113.7
27252.2
902728.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9092204060801001201401601808299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.2
48.448.2
Auto11.8
Teleop27.5
End8.4
blue by 4.3
272
#1
52.20.5
46.647.1
Auto16.3
Teleop27.0
End8.9
Second
2458
#25
22.80.2
17.817.6
Auto6.6
Teleop11.5
End4.7
blue by 6.0
9027
#16
28.90.5
25.025.6
Auto9.3
Teleop13.3
End6.3
Third
9014
#22
20.50.2
18.918.7
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End7.2
red by 6.8
8721
#23
13.70.5
14.815.3
Auto2.8
Teleop6.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned