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Red67
531021.5
48628.2
909423.8
Blue88
139153.6
201623.6
54579.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72830501001502002506788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
#12
28.20.5
26.826.3
Auto9.1
Teleop12.9
End6.2
blue by 25.4
53.60.8
45.546.2
Auto16.0
Teleop30.3
End7.3
Second
9094
#13
23.80.5
20.319.8
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End5.0
red by 0.2
2016
#24
23.60.8
17.818.5
Auto6.3
Teleop11.1
End6.2
Third
5310
#20
21.50.5
22.121.7
Auto7.5
Teleop6.4
End7.6
red by 11.6
5457
#28
9.80.8
13.214.0
Auto1.5
Teleop3.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsMissed