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Red85
910020.9
48628.2
877113.8
Blue93
549014.6
164721.1
27252.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5478020401001201408593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
#12
28.22.1
22.224.3
Auto9.1
Teleop12.9
End6.2
blue by 24.0
272
#1
52.21.2
44.445.7
Auto16.3
Teleop27.0
End8.9
Second
9100
#26
20.92.1
17.119.2
Auto7.4
Teleop7.0
End6.6
blue by 0.2
1647
#17
21.11.2
14.615.8
Auto6.1
Teleop8.7
End6.3
Third
8771
#27
13.82.1
14.216.3
Auto5.5
Teleop3.7
End4.6
blue by 0.8
5490
#29
14.61.2
10.812.0
Auto3.9
Teleop5.6
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
12%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsEarned