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Red86
692129.9
877113.8
260747.8
Blue116
863020.0
201623.6
31653.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9689608012014086116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.2
46.546.4
Auto11.8
Teleop27.5
End8.4
blue by 5.4
316
#3
53.21.8
49.251.0
Auto12.7
Teleop30.5
End10.0
Second
6921
#18
29.90.2
25.425.2
Auto9.2
Teleop14.8
End6.0
red by 6.4
2016
#24
23.61.8
18.520.3
Auto6.3
Teleop11.1
End6.2
Third
8771
#27
13.80.2
16.816.7
Auto5.5
Teleop3.7
End4.6
blue by 6.2
8630
#19
20.01.8
16.618.4
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsEarned