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Red115
27252.2
909423.8
863020.0
Blue135
201623.6
260747.8
437350.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8612750100150200115135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#1
52.21.6
48.750.3
Auto16.3
Teleop27.0
End8.9
red by 2.0
50.21.1
47.148.2
Auto17.4
Teleop25.3
End7.5
Second
9094
#13
23.81.6
19.521.1
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End5.0
blue by 24.0
47.81.1
46.747.8
Auto11.8
Teleop27.5
End8.4
Third
8630
#19
20.01.6
17.419.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End4.0
blue by 3.6
2016
#24
23.61.1
20.121.1
Auto6.3
Teleop11.1
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned