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Red106
32141.3
562422.4
164721.1
Blue105
48628.2
549014.6
31653.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76104204060120140160106105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#9
41.32.1
36.838.8
Auto13.3
Teleop21.9
End6.2
blue by 11.9
316
#3
53.20.1
52.052.1
Auto12.7
Teleop30.5
End10.0
Second
5624
#15
22.42.1
18.420.5
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End4.4
blue by 5.8
486
#12
28.20.1
27.227.2
Auto9.1
Teleop12.9
End6.2
Third
1647
#17
21.12.1
19.922.0
Auto6.1
Teleop8.7
End6.3
red by 6.5
5490
#29
14.60.1
15.115.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.6
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed26%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsEarned