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Red128
48628.2
437350.2
562422.4
Blue107
566623.2
457524.9
139153.6
41%Model gave it59%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102111406080120140160180200128107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.20.6
48.949.5
Auto17.4
Teleop25.3
End7.5
blue by 3.4
53.60.4
52.652.3
Auto16.0
Teleop30.3
End7.3
Second
486
#12
28.20.6
27.227.8
Auto9.1
Teleop12.9
End6.2
red by 3.3
4575
#21
24.90.4
25.825.4
Auto6.7
Teleop15.7
End2.5
Third
5624
#15
22.40.6
20.521.1
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End4.4
blue by 0.8
5666
#10
23.20.4
24.223.8
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability oddsEarned44%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsMissed76%Activation oddsMissed