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Red121
549014.6
31653.2
331453.6
Blue119
48437.0
901420.5
32141.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1359950150200121119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.0
53.853.8
Auto13.1
Teleop32.8
End7.8
red by 12.3
321
#9
41.30.5
40.941.3
Auto13.3
Teleop21.9
End6.2
Second
316
#3
53.20.0
53.453.4
Auto12.7
Teleop30.5
End10.0
red by 16.3
484
#7
37.00.5
36.537.0
Auto10.5
Teleop18.1
End8.4
Third
5490
#29
14.60.0
14.814.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.6
End5.1
blue by 5.9
9014
#22
20.50.5
20.020.5
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End7.2