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Red74
201623.6
902728.9
909423.8
Blue103
540126.9
245822.8
741425.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8377406010012014074103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9027
#16
28.90.2
29.028.9
Auto9.3
Teleop13.3
End6.3
red by 1.9
5401
#11
26.90.4
26.126.5
Auto7.7
Teleop12.0
End7.2
Second
9094
#13
23.80.2
24.023.8
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End5.0
blue by 1.7
25.50.4
24.725.1
Auto7.2
Teleop13.0
End5.3
Third
2016
#24
23.60.2
23.723.6
Auto6.3
Teleop11.1
End6.2
red by 0.7
2458
#25
22.80.4
22.422.8
Auto6.6
Teleop11.5
End4.7