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Red85
205335.7
757018.7
287253.4
Blue138
716543.1
350432.9
93067.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10213405015020085138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2872
#29
53.41.7
54.052.3
Auto17.0
Teleop27.3
End8.4
blue by 14.1
930
#1
67.51.1
57.858.9
Auto16.0
Teleop43.5
End7.6
Second
2053
#15
35.72.2
27.225.0
Auto13.3
Teleop17.0
End5.4
blue by 7.4
43.11.4
33.635.0
Auto13.7
Teleop22.2
End7.3
Third
7570
#45
18.72.8
18.816.0
Auto6.4
Teleop7.4
End5.0
blue by 14.2
3504
#19
32.91.4
29.931.2
Auto9.4
Teleop16.6
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed77%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned