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Red81
37832.9
318135.8
37940.9
Blue109
217231.1
265630.4
839342.9
70%Model gave it30%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions998220406012014016018081109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#24
40.90.7
37.637.0
Auto13.4
Teleop20.5
End6.9
blue by 2.1
42.92.0
35.937.9
Auto13.8
Teleop22.4
End6.8
Second
3181
#16
35.80.7
27.426.8
Auto10.9
Teleop17.9
End7.0
red by 4.7
2172
#26
31.12.0
27.629.6
Auto10.4
Teleop13.7
End7.0
Third
378
#14
32.90.7
25.925.2
Auto9.8
Teleop17.6
End5.5
red by 2.5
2656
#39
30.43.3
16.019.2
Auto7.7
Teleop13.3
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsMissed54%Activation oddsEarned