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Red91
348426.3
402746.2
757018.7
Blue105
319332.1
408530.6
205335.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81630204010012014091105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4027
#28
46.20.7
39.840.5
Auto12.1
Teleop26.7
End7.1
red by 10.5
2053
#15
35.73.2
25.028.1
Auto13.3
Teleop17.0
End5.4
Second
3484
#34
26.30.5
17.718.2
Auto3.5
Teleop16.0
End6.8
blue by 5.7
3193
#13
32.12.9
18.321.1
Auto5.4
Teleop17.2
End9.5
Third
7570
#45
18.70.8
16.016.9
Auto6.4
Teleop7.4
End5.0
blue by 11.9
4085
#11
30.63.2
18.021.1
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsEarned