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Red121
37832.9
67729.1
414544.4
Blue98
159161.9
913923.2
886121.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10299809011012013014012198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.41.7
37.639.3
Auto10.7
Teleop26.8
End6.9
blue by 17.6
61.90.3
57.557.8
Auto17.1
Teleop35.8
End8.7
Second
378
#14
32.91.7
28.430.1
Auto9.8
Teleop17.6
End5.5
red by 9.6
9139
#46
23.20.5
17.818.3
Auto7.8
Teleop8.0
End7.4
Third
677
#31
29.11.7
29.531.2
Auto8.6
Teleop16.6
End3.8
red by 7.7
8861
#47
21.50.5
18.318.8
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned20%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsEarned