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Red95
350432.9
839342.9
870523.1
Blue144
408530.6
178758.5
317152.1
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8815405010020025095144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.3
37.637.9
Auto13.8
Teleop22.4
End6.8
blue by 15.5
58.50.5
56.056.5
Auto14.7
Teleop34.7
End8.7
Second
3504
#19
32.90.3
29.830.1
Auto9.4
Teleop16.6
End6.9
blue by 19.3
52.10.5
52.453.0
Auto13.7
Teleop28.4
End9.5
Third
8705
#25
23.10.5
23.523.9
Auto6.3
Teleop10.2
End6.6
blue by 7.5
4085
#11
30.60.5
27.628.1
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsEarned62%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned