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Red103
405025.3
11737.4
37940.9
Blue96
824318.0
319332.1
402746.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999540608012014016010396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#24
40.90.4
40.040.4
Auto13.4
Teleop20.5
End6.9
blue by 5.3
4027
#28
46.20.5
45.646.1
Auto12.1
Teleop26.7
End7.1
Second
117
#20
37.40.7
29.730.4
Auto9.0
Teleop22.0
End6.4
red by 5.3
3193
#13
32.10.5
28.729.1
Auto5.4
Teleop17.2
End9.5
Third
4050
#42
25.30.7
22.323.0
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End5.3
red by 7.4
8243
#40
18.00.5
15.015.4
Auto6.3
Teleop7.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsEarned31%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsEarned