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Red102
446751.6
205130.9
408530.6
Blue132
839342.9
263845.0
205335.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113120050150200250300102132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4467
#18
51.60.3
49.449.1
Auto14.0
Teleop31.4
End6.3
red by 6.6
2638
#21
45.01.0
40.441.4
Auto12.4
Teleop24.4
End8.2
Second
2051
#33
30.90.3
29.629.2
Auto9.3
Teleop14.5
End7.1
blue by 12.1
42.91.0
37.938.9
Auto13.8
Teleop22.4
End6.8
Third
4085
#11
30.60.3
28.127.8
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End8.2
blue by 5.1
2053
#15
35.71.0
33.734.7
Auto13.3
Teleop17.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsMissed23%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsMissed