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Red111
11737.4
155943.7
757018.7
Blue104
395420.8
265630.4
287253.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89108050150200111104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1559
#12
43.71.7
41.443.1
Auto12.8
Teleop22.9
End8.0
blue by 9.6
2872
#29
53.40.3
52.552.9
Auto17.0
Teleop27.3
End8.4
Second
117
#20
37.42.6
30.433.0
Auto9.0
Teleop22.0
End6.4
red by 7.0
2656
#39
30.40.5
25.526.0
Auto7.7
Teleop13.3
End9.4
Third
7570
#45
18.72.6
14.016.6
Auto6.4
Teleop7.4
End5.0
blue by 2.1
3954
#38
20.80.5
20.821.3
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
46%Sustainability oddsMissed32%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned