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Red128
263845.0
12036.6
395420.8
Blue118
751519.1
287253.4
402746.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10312950150200128118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#21
45.00.5
41.442.0
Auto12.4
Teleop24.4
End8.2
blue by 8.3
2872
#29
53.40.3
52.952.6
Auto17.0
Teleop27.3
End8.4
Second
120
#30
36.60.5
37.037.6
Auto9.3
Teleop17.4
End9.9
blue by 9.6
4027
#28
46.20.3
46.346.0
Auto12.1
Teleop26.7
End7.1
Third
3954
#38
20.80.8
21.322.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End5.8
red by 1.7
7515
#44
19.10.3
19.419.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsMissed37%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned