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Red110
446751.6
67729.1
900420.0
Blue108
37940.9
499138.0
12036.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10112750150200110108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4467
#18
51.60.8
51.051.7
Auto14.0
Teleop31.4
End6.3
red by 10.7
379
#24
40.90.8
39.939.1
Auto13.4
Teleop20.5
End6.9
Second
677
#31
29.10.8
28.329.1
Auto8.6
Teleop16.6
End3.8
blue by 8.8
38.01.1
38.136.9
Auto8.3
Teleop23.3
End6.3
Third
9004
#32
20.01.0
18.920.0
Auto7.6
Teleop8.9
End3.5
blue by 16.6
120
#30
36.60.8
37.636.7
Auto9.3
Teleop17.4
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsEarned46%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsMissed90%Activation oddsEarned