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Red57
757018.7
886121.5
408530.6
Blue153
5949.3
159161.9
751519.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49125010015020057153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4085
#11
30.60.1
21.121.3
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End8.2
blue by 31.4
61.93.0
51.054.0
Auto17.1
Teleop35.8
End8.7
Second
8861
#47
21.50.2
17.417.6
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End5.5
blue by 27.8
59
#10
49.32.7
35.237.8
Auto9.2
Teleop31.0
End9.0
Third
7570
#45
18.70.2
16.917.0
Auto6.4
Teleop7.4
End5.0
blue by 0.4
7515
#44
19.12.7
21.524.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsEarned